Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-24 0.620649 0.703994 0.792910 0.894664 1.007719 1.129304 1.269782
2025-08-31 0.486790 0.601048 0.731971 0.892396 1.082932 1.301229 1.569442
2025-09-07 0.399052 0.533173 0.697297 0.911223 1.180806 1.507204 1.930006
2025-09-14 0.321470 0.463351 0.648171 0.903407 1.243070 1.675430 2.262592
2025-09-21 0.269250 0.416595 0.619969 0.916026 1.329782 1.880341 2.659596
2025-09-28 0.220272 0.365280 0.576963 0.901014 1.375262 2.032878 2.999752
2025-10-05 0.194707 0.343575 0.571976 0.937375 1.493895 2.293302 3.507143
2025-10-12 0.173330 0.324426 0.567357 0.972258 1.611979 2.560890 4.044277
2025-10-19 0.150106 0.298005 0.547083 0.979235 1.686714 2.768997 4.508425
2025-10-26 0.130109 0.273550 0.526179 0.981617 1.752687 2.966810 4.969061
2025-11-02 0.113209 0.251682 0.506331 0.982527 1.814765 3.161193 5.435572
2025-11-09 0.098881 0.232139 0.487672 0.982584 1.874030 3.353540 5.909518
2025-11-16 0.087175 0.216050 0.473586 0.989760 1.947052 3.575282 6.449179
2025-11-23 0.075455 0.197738 0.452620 0.981492 1.991481 3.751793 6.925483
2025-11-30 0.067810 0.187048 0.445309 0.998217 2.082143 4.012749 7.559378
2025-12-07 0.058797 0.171365 0.425360 0.987389 2.119853 4.182951 8.047262
2025-12-14 0.052797 0.161855 0.417265 0.999512 2.201897 4.436786 8.695394
2025-12-21 0.045548 0.147595 0.396471 0.982350 2.224475 4.583061 9.159837
2025-12-28 0.042717 0.144653 0.401330 1.020945 2.361687 4.949836 10.042720
2026-01-04 0.040031 0.141585 0.405434 1.058127 2.498620 5.323801 10.958093
2026-01-11 0.036025 0.133793 0.396833 1.065377 2.573257 5.582403 11.671859
2026-01-18 0.032251 0.125856 0.386691 1.067773 2.637362 5.823735 12.364946
2026-01-25 0.028851 0.118311 0.376442 1.068645 2.697861 6.060915 13.061578